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Seasonal Increase in South Florida Real Estate Sales?

300px Case shiller index values Seasonal Increase in South Florida Real Estate Sales?

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This past May, home prices went up in South Florida and across the country, but an analyst speculate the increases may just be seasonal.

According to the Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller Home Price Index released today, 16 of 20 cities saw prices rise from April. In Palm Beach, Broward and Miami-Dade counties, prices rose 1.2%. While prices in the three-county region fell 5.3% from a year ago.

David M. Blitzer, chairman of the index committee at S&P, states: “We see some seasonal improvements with May’s data. This is a seasonal period of stronger demand for houses, so monthly price increases are to be expected….” Blitzer went on to say that the S&P index and other housing data “all support a continuation of the ‘bounce-along-the-bottom’ scenario we have witnessed in the housing market over the past two years.”

Sales of existing homes in South Florida have been strong in 2011, helping to significantly reduce the number of homes for sale. Last week, the Florida Realtors reported that the median price in Broward County rose 26% in June from a year ago, while Palm Beach County‘s median dropped 12%. The median means half the homes sold for more, and half for less.

The Case-Shiller index, created by economists Karl Case and Robert Shiller and released on the last Tuesday of each month, measures home prices in 20 major metro areas nationwide. Its South Florida numbers collectively include Palm Beach, Broward and Miami-Dade counties.

42% of Broward Home Sales are in Some Stage of Foreclosure

Analysts predict that homes in some stage of foreclosure accounted for a large portion of South Florida sales during the third quarter, a trend that likely will hinder the housing market indefinitely.

According to RealtyTrac Inc., about 42% of Broward County homes sold during the July-through-September period were in default, scheduled for auction or bank-owned.

In Florida, Broward was second only to Miami-Dade County with 4,688 foreclosure-related sales in the quarter, down 6% from the second quarter.

Roughly 31% of Palm Beach County home sales involved a foreclosure during the period. The county had 2,303 foreclosure sales in the third quarter, up 2%  from the second quarter.

Daren Blomquist, a spokesman for RealtyTrac, stated: “Foreclosures are still a big part of the housing market because there’s such a built-in discount.”

Foreclosure sales are expected to decline in the fourth quarter because of lender moratoriums that pulled many of those properties off the market in October. Some of the homes are slowly being marketed for sale again.

First-time buyers especially are attracted to these distressed homes because they’re usually priced well below market value.

Broward foreclosures sold for an average price of $122,202 during the third quarter, with the average discount 24% below the typical price of properties not in the foreclosure process, RealtyTrac said. The average price in Palm Beach County was $141,594, and the average discount 26%.

Across Florida, 37% of all home sales were foreclosure-related during the third quarter. In 2005, at the height of the housing boom, foreclosures made up only about 1% of all sales nationally.

It will take a couple more years to rid the South Florida market of distressed homes, said Charles Richardson, a regional senior vice president for Coldwell Banker. He states: “It’s an inevitable part of the recovery period.”

 42% of Broward Home Sales are in Some Stage of Foreclosure

Palm Beach County Ranks #1 in Florida Foreclosures Second Month in a Row

3406206409 ddb2c43e45 m Palm Beach County Ranks #1 in Florida Foreclosures Second Month in a Row
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RealtyTrac Inc. announced today that Palm Beach County had Florida’s top foreclosure rate for the second month in a row, with one in every 94 homes in some stage of default in October.

Broward County had the state’s fifth-highest foreclosure rate, with one in every 110 homes involved in the foreclosure process. Broward and Palm Beach had the most filings of the state’s 67 counties.

Jerron Kelley, a foreclosure defense lawyer in Delray Beach states: “If Broward and Palm Beach are not ground zero for the foreclosure mess, they’re very close to it. Homeowners are at the point where they’re just throwing their hands up.”

In order to help clear the backlog of cases, Peter D. Blanc, chief judge of the 15th Judicial Circuit says Palm Beach County has brought in retired judges in the past several months to work through 55,000 cases.  Some lawyers say judges are quick to rule in favor of the banks, but Blanc said the judges often have no choice because homeowners aren’t showing up in court to defend themselves. He states: “Nobody’s coming in, saying ‘I made my payment.”

Still, the Palm Beach County Clerk & Comptroller’s office disputes RealtyTrac’s figures, which show monthly increases in initial foreclosure filings and bank repossessions.

Clerk Sharon Bock said in a statement that the decrease in initial filings “coincides with a move by many banks to slow and review their pending foreclosure cases.”  RealtyTrac said both sets of numbers show the same trends over time and attributes the discrepancy to “fundamental differences in methodology.”

 Palm Beach County Ranks #1 in Florida Foreclosures Second Month in a Row

Zillow: 45% of South Florida Home Sellers Took a Loss in September

Florida%27s Turnpike shield Zillow: 45% of South Florida Home Sellers Took a Loss in September
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Today, Zillow.com  offered another depressing snapshot of the South Florida housing market.

About 45% of homes sold in September in Palm Beach, Broward and Miami-Dade counties went for a loss and 42% of single-family homeowners with a mortgage are “underwater.” Furthermore, South Florida home values have tumbled 53% since peaking in summer 2006. Values have leveled off and now are what they were in July 2002.

According to Zillow.com, home values here depreciated by 15% to $143,300 in the third quarter from a year ago. Greg McBride, a senior financial analyst with Bankrate.com in North Palm Beach states: “The faster the rise, the sharper the fall. We’re still paying the price for the rapid run-up in home values earlier in the decade.”

Real estate agents are saying that many of the homes selling in today’s market are deeply discounted foreclosures and short sales that were bought for peak prices in 2004 and 2005. Some homeowners who have equity are reluctant to sell because they don’t want to accept low prices.

Stan Humphries, chief economist for Zillow, thinks the percentage of underwater borrowers in the tri-county region is holding steady compared with the second quarter and a year ago, but that’s not something to celebrate. In most cases, when homes are resold after a foreclosure, the properties no longer are underwater because the new owners have bought at drastically reduced prices. But those gains are being offset in South Florida by falling prices that pull additional mortgage holders underwater.The problem of owing more than the mortgage hurts housing demand because it prevents existing homeowners from moving. Some may not be able to break even in a sale for a decade or two. More “underwater” homeowners are choosing to let the properties fall into foreclosure because they have no hope of regaining their equity anytime soon. He concludes: “This will be a specter that hangs over the marketplace for the coming years.”

Still, the situation here isn’t nearly as bad as in Las Vegas, which leads the country with 80% of single-family mortgages underwater. Orlando is fourth at 64%. South Florida is 21st, with 347,258 homes worth less than their mortgages.

Zillow expected a national bottom in home prices in the third quarter of 2010, but that now has been pushed back to the first half of 2011. A South Florida bottom will occur sometime after that, Humphries said.

Humphries said the nation’s real estate downturn rivals the Great Depression and may surpass it in the coming months as the market deteriorates.

 Zillow: 45% of South Florida Home Sellers Took a Loss in September

South Florida Leads Nation With 58,000+ Foreclosure Filings

2539334956 87cef7e457 m South Florida Leads Nation With 58,000+ Foreclosure Filings
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South Florida is still slammed with foreclosures!

Today, Realtytrac announced that South Florida’s foreclosure debacle led the nation in the third quarter, with 58,624 homes in some stage of default.

The number of filings in Palm Beach, Broward and Miami-Dade counties rose 25% from the second quarter and 9%  from the third quarter of last year.

South Florida counties had the seventh-highest foreclosure rate in the July-through-September period, with one in every 41 homes receiving a filing. Nationwide, one in every 139 homes is in the foreclosure process.

Lawyers and analysts expect mortgage defaults to increase once big lenders lift foreclosure freezes that began in the past month over concerns about paperwork errors.

The main causes of foreclosures are high unemployment, exotic loans made during the housing boom and falling property values that mean borrowers now owe more than their homes are worth.

Many homeowners who are “upside down” or “underwater” on their mortgages are choosing to abandon the properties because they have no hope of earning back their equity in the next few years.

Mike Larson, a housing analyst with Weiss Research in Jupiter, states: “For homeowners who are upside down, relief is not going to come soon enough.”

RealtyTrac measures the nation’s 206 largest metro areas. It records three types of filings: default notices, scheduled foreclosure auctions and bank repossessions. Nearly a quarter of the filings in South Florida from July through September were scheduled auctions in Palm Beach County. Lawyers say the county is serious about moving cases through the court system and setting dates for the homes to be repossessed by lenders. RealtyTrac claimes that Palm Beach, Broward and Miami-Dade counties also led the nation in foreclosure activity during the first half of 2010, with 94,466 homes getting a notice.

Analysts think the foreclosure crisis is likely to continue until job growth improves.

Jerry Tepps, a foreclosure defense attorney in Plantation thinks that in order to address the avalanche of defaults, lenders must do a better job of approving loan modifications and short sales. An even better solution: Reduce loan balances, something banks have been reluctant to do, Tepps said. He states: “If the banks want to get this sorted out and get people back on track, they need to be much more aggressive in negotiating with homeowners.”

But the reality is, the federal government doesn’t want lenders reducing mortgage balances or approving loan modifications in massive numbers, said Anthony Sanders, a professor of real estate finance at George Mason University. He concludes: “If the banks granted all the loan modifications and principal (mortgage) write-downs that we would like, the banks would cease to exist. Sad but true.”

 South Florida Leads Nation With 58,000+ Foreclosure Filings

Chase is Holding Foreclosure Prevention Event Today

300px Wamu svg.svg Chase is Holding Foreclosure Prevention Event Today
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Today in Sunrise, along with county, city and state officials, JPMorgan Chase is hosting a free foreclosure event.

At this event, borrowers whose home mortgages are from Chase, Washington Mutual and EMC can meet with loan advisors to discuss their options.

State Rep. Hazelle Rogers, D-Lauderdale Lakes, Broward County Commissioner Albert C. Jones and Broward County Task Force representative Phyllis Brown are also participating.

The foreclosure prevention event runs from 11 a.m. to 6 p.m. at 13450 West Sunrise Blvd., Suite 250 in Sunrise.

Those attending should bring:

  • Most recent 30 day’s pay stubs (6 months for self-employed homeowners)
  • Most recent year’s tax returns and W-2s
  • Most recent monthly bank statement (4 months for self-employed homeowners)
  • Documentation for any other income (such as rental income or unemployment)
  • Proof of taxes paid
  • Proof of insurance paid
  • Proof of HOA dues paid (if applicable)
 Chase is Holding Foreclosure Prevention Event Today

South Florida Home Prices Dip in August

300px Cshpi peak.svg South Florida Home Prices Dip in August

Change of the Case-Shiller Home Price Index re...

According to Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller Home Price Index, after several months of modest increases, South Florida home prices fell in August.

Prices in Palm Beach, Broward and Miami-Dade counties dipped 0.3%  in August from July and 1% from a year ago.

Nationally, August home prices declined in 15 of 20 metro areas. David M. Blitzer, chairman of the Index Committee at Standard & Poor’s, called it a “disappointing report” that shows the housing market continues to “bounce along the recent lows.”

The index measures prices of the same house over time, rather than recording median prices for homes sold in a month, as the Florida Realtors trade group does.

Data for September released Monday showed that the median price in Broward increased 7% from a year ago. Palm Beach County’s median was down 7% from last year.

Analysts conclude that recent prolonged foreclosure freezes by major lenders could hurt prices here and elsewhere in the long run.

 South Florida Home Prices Dip in August

Broward County: Home Prices Up & Sales Down; Palm Beach County: Prices Down & Sales Are Up

300px Cities of Palm Beach County.svg Broward County: Home Prices Up & Sales Down; Palm Beach County: Prices Down & Sales Are Up

Even though Broward County home prices rose this past September, a long-term recovery hinges on the depth and duration of foreclosure freezes by several big lenders.

Yesterday, according to Florida Realtors, the county’s median price of existing homes sold last month was $214,200, a 7% increase from a year ago and sales fell 16% to 673.

In Palm Beach County, the median price dropped 7% to $225,900, while sales rose 7% to 801.

Prices in the two counties have been up and down for most of the year. And that could continue following the recent clamor over foreclosure paperwork.

During the past month, Bank of America, GMAC, JPMorgan Chase and PNC Financial Services halted all or parts of their foreclosure processes in Florida and other states, reducing the number of cases handled in the courts.

A spokesman for the Palm Beach County Clerk said courts there cancelled more than half of the 1,700 sales of foreclosed homes, during the month of October through Monday.

According to the Clerk of Courts office, in Broward County, figures for October were not available. But in September, almost 38% or 1,411 of the 3,762 scheduled foreclosure sales were cancelled during the month.

The number of cases moving through the court system “is very light,” Broward Chief Judge Victor Tobin said. He states: “Last week was very slow and this week is slow.”

Analysts predict that if the foreclosure delays spread to other banks and last into next year, the resulting backlog will keep the housing market depressed.

Distressed homes, including foreclosures, accounted for 35% of sales nationwide in September.

Real estate agents and mortgage brokers expect prices to increase temporarily because fewer foreclosed homes are available for sale. But once the freezes are over, those properties will flood the market, causing prices to fall again, as they have for much of the past five years.

Tom Meyer, chief executive of Kislak Mortgage in Miami Lakes, said roughly half the home loans his firm is working on have been suspended. Loan officers tell him that borrowers now are interested in non-foreclosed homes because they don’t want to worry about potential problems postponing or canceling sales. He states: “I think that indicates that prices will stabilize and increase, albeit for a short period of time. But that won’t be a fundamental reflection of a stronger housing market.”

Moody’s Economy.com doesn’t expect the foreclosure freezes to last long enough to hurt housing’s supply and demand. Chris Lafakis, an economist covering Florida for Economy.com states: “It may just be a matter of weeks.”

On Monday, which was supposed to be the day Bank of America re-started its foreclosure process, the nation’s largest mortgage servicer pulled back from its announced schedule. A bank spokesman said its attorneys had asked courts in the judicial foreclosure states not to proceed with 102,000 cases. In a statement, he insisted “the bases for our foreclosure decisions have been accurate.”

According to spokesman Dan Frahm said, the average borrower in foreclosure in the third quarter was 18 months behind on payments and one in three properties was already vacant.

Bank of America said it has reviewed its process and has put in place new steps and controls.

Foreclosure defense attorneys are skeptical that the process can be re-started smoothly.

Attorney Gary Handin of Coral Springs concludes: “I can’t understand how they can have tens of thousands of foreclosure cases resolved quickly. I’m a small office and if you asked me to go through every one in my office it’d probably take us a month.”

 Broward County: Home Prices Up & Sales Down; Palm Beach County: Prices Down & Sales Are Up

Nation’s Largest Banks Hold Over 20 Billion in Foreclosures EACH

4047601378 878a0d7dd3 m Nations Largest Banks Hold Over 20 Billion in Foreclosures EACH
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According to new data released this week, the nation’s largest banks are holding enormous volumes of distressed home loans. Not only has the housing crisis left major lenders knee-deep in an ocean of non-performers, but added exposure to early delinquencies means they could sink even deeper.

According to an analysis by Weiss Ratings, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, and Wells Fargo each reported more than $20 billion in single-family mortgages currently foreclosed or in the process of foreclosure as of midyear. In addition, Weiss found that for each dollar these banks held of mortgages in foreclosure, there were an additional $2 in loans in the pipeline that were 30 days or more past due.

Among all U.S. banks, JPMorgan Chase has the largest volume of mortgages in foreclosure or foreclosed with $21.7 billion. On top of that, the company has $43.4 billion more in mortgages past due.

Compared to JPMorgan, Bank of America has a somewhat smaller volume of foreclosures — $20.3 billion — but it has a larger pipeline of past-due mortgages at $54.6 billion.

Wells Fargo’s foreclosures come to $20.5 billion, with $48 billion in overdue home loans.

According to Weiss, including all foreclosed and delinquent categories, Bank of America has the largest volume of bad mortgages among U.S. banks, with $74.9 billion, while Wells Fargo has the second largest with $68.6 billion.

Other banks, despite their large size, are less heavily exposed to mortgage difficulties. Citibank has $6.3 billion in foreclosures and $19.2 billion in past-due mortgages, or a total of $25.6 billion.

The volume of foreclosures and delinquencies held by other large banks, such as U.S. Bank ($9.5 billion), PNC Bank ($8.9 billion), and SunTrust ($7.3 billion) is even smaller.

Martin D. Weiss, chairman of Weiss Ratings, states: “In addition to the volume of bad mortgages, the vulnerability of each bank to the foreclosure crisis depends on the capital and loan loss reserves it has set aside to cover losses and other factors such as its earnings, liquidity, reliance on less-stable deposits, and the quality of its overall loan portfolio.”

Among banks with $1 billion or more of mortgages already foreclosed or in process of foreclosure, Weiss found that Wells Fargo has the greatest exposure to bad mortgages in proportion to its capital. For each dollar of Tier 1 Capital, the bank has 75.4 cents in bad mortgages, or a ratio of 75.4%.

The equivalent ratios for JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, and SunTrust are 66.8%, 66%, and 57.6%, respectively.

Weiss explained that losses on foreclosures and past-due loans will first be absorbed by the banks’ loan loss reserves, but then they may have to dip into capital. He states: “Considering that many large banks also take other kinds of risks beyond strictly home mortgages. These are very large exposures that could directly impact shareholders and even the safety of depositors.”

Reflecting both their exposure to foreclosures and the other economic factors, the JPMorgan, BofA, and Wells all merit a rating of D (“weak”) or lower from Weiss Ratings, indicating vulnerability to financial difficulties and instability if conditions continue to deteriorate.

 Nations Largest Banks Hold Over 20 Billion in Foreclosures EACH

Wells Fargo Releases Q3 Report Explaining Lack of Foreclosure Freeze

3967839626 ddbce1663c m Wells Fargo Releases Q3 Report Explaining Lack of Foreclosure Freeze

Yesterday, Wells Fargo & Co. released its third quarter profits, with earnings per share of 60 cents, an increase of 7% from the 55 cents earned in Q3 2009 and an increase of 9% from the 56 cents reported for Q2.

The net income for the company was $3.35 billion in the third quarter of 2010, higher than both the $3.06 billion for Q2 and the $3.24 billion for Q3 2009. The net income for the year was reported as $8.95 billion, which was lower than the $9.45 billion net income for the same period of the eight months ending September 30, 2009.

The San Francisco, California-based company reported that it extended $176 billion in credit to customers and businesses during the quarter, attributing the 17% growth to increased mortgage originations, commercial loans and lines of credit, home equity lines, and credit card lines. The company also reported that this past quarter was the second highest quarter for mortgage applications ever, earning $101 billion in mortgage originations, up from Q2’s $81 billion

The report stated that more than 2.3 million homeowners benefited from home payment relief through the company’s modifications and refinances from the period of January 2009 to August 31, 2010. During that time the company approved 532,600 mortgage loan modifications and refinanced 1.8 million mortgage loans. The company says it owned a residential mortgage servicing portfolio of $1.8 trillion at the end of Q3.

John Stumpf, Chairman and CEO of Wells Fargo, released a statement within the report touting the credibility and practices of the company and explaining the company’s decision not to partake in a foreclosure freeze like many of the top lenders. He states: “With respect to recent industry-wide foreclosure issues, there are several important facts to know about Wells Fargo. Foreclosure is always a last resort, and we work hard to find other solutions through multiple discussions with customers over many months before proceeding to foreclosure. We are confident that our practices, procedures and documentation for both foreclosures and mortgage securitizations are sound and accurate. For those reasons, we did not, and have no plans to, initiate a moratorium on foreclosures.”

Despite higher-than-expected earnings per share and a large amount of mortgage originations, revenue for the company was down, coming in at $20.9 billion compared with $21.4 billion in Q2 2010 and $22.5 billion in Q3 2009. The company blamed the $520 million decline in total revenue on net debt and equity security gains, PCI loan resolution income, and the impact from changes to Regulation E and related overdraft policy changes.

 Wells Fargo Releases Q3 Report Explaining Lack of Foreclosure Freeze
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